Statistical Data Analysis
Multi-field Forecasting Model
Abstract
After more than 5 years of development, I have completed building up a unique election forecasting model early this year. Initially named Universal Trend Model, it has been tested as well as verified for 30 elections around the globe, though first of the two structure was applied for 703 cases in the past. Unlike many other election forecasts, this model does not include factors indirect from the polling data that some individuals consider to be affecting outcome of elections. As a result, even though it was developed mainly in purpose for accurately predicting election results, the model can be used in any other subjects by inputting base data of various topics.
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